The point: you tend to enter after a move is extended, ride it ~4h, then get reversed and stopped. So the headline is Chase risk + the Verdict, not raw momentum.
Verdict:
Early / pullback uptrend but price back near its 4h EMA20, RSI 40–62 — the move has room; the entry you actually want ·
Trending uptrend, mid-move ·
Extended — chase risk overbought / stretched / upper band — this is where you keep getting stopped; wait for a pullback ·
Exhausted / Downtrend reversing or below the EMAs — don't long.
Chase risk (0–100) blends 4h RSI>70, distance above EMA20, Bollinger %B, consecutive up-bars, range position, and price-up/flow-down divergence (⚠). High = late. Flow = real volume-weighted Chaikin Money Flow over 20× 4h bars (Binance volume); a * marks the rare coin priced via CoinGecko fallback where only an OHLC proxy is possible. RVOL = current 4h-bar volume vs the prior 20-bar average. ATR/stop = 4h ATR% and a 1.5×ATR stop guide — size stops outside 4h noise so you don't get wicked. Swing low = lowest low of the last 6 bars.
BTC · ETH · SOL · HYPE pinned, each with a hypothetical entry / SL / TP plan (long in uptrends, short in downtrends, nothing in chop); use the scratch card for any other coin. Data: Binance → Hyperliquid (perps) → CoinGecko. Plans are mechanical levels off 4h structure + ATR, gated by the daily trend — not advice, and blind to catalysts / funding / liquidity. Every level is computed on the last closed 4h candle, so it holds steady until the next close (countdown top-right); best read just after a close. A ≈ β× BTC tag on a plan means it's highly correlated to BTC and pointing the same way as the market side — it's roughly a leveraged BTC position, not a diversified second bet; size it as part of one trade.